11. 10. Debate: The First Supplementary Budget 2016-17

Part of the debate – in the Senedd at 6:56 pm on 12 July 2016.

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Photo of Nick Ramsay Nick Ramsay Conservative 6:56, 12 July 2016

I wasn’t expecting to hear ‘supplementary budget’ and ‘high political drama’ in the same sentence there, Adam Price, but you managed it. Can I thank the finance Cabinet Secretary for his earlier opening contribution? We agree with you, finance Cabinet Secretary, that this first supplementary budget is largely technical and administrative due to changes through the transition from the last Assembly.

If I can just touch on a couple of the recommendations that the Finance Committee made that previous Members have alluded to. Recommendation 1 relates to the cost of the recent Assembly election and this is clearly a cost that has to be borne by this place whether we like it or not—democracy does have a cost and we know from previous elections roughly what that’s going to be. It’s clearly important that that cost is kept to a minimum and that elections that this place is involved in are efficient. So, I think it’s reasonable to ask the Cabinet Secretary how we’re going to ensure this now and in future. I understand that a large part of this cost is an estimate based on the 2011 Assembly election cost and figures—around £4 million, I think, of Royal Mail delivery costs. Can you tell us, in rounding up, when we will get a final decision on what the actual cost was so that we can gauge that and compare it with previous elections?

Recommendation 2 of the Finance Committee report calls for greater evidence setting out the rationale behind supplementary budget allocations mentioned by the Chair of the Finance Committee earlier, including details of anticipated economic impact. I think, as we’ve made clear in the Finance Committee and in discussions in the last Assembly, it’s very important, as we move towards greater tax devolution in 2018, that we get this aspect of the Welsh Government budget setting process right and the scrutiny side of it right. So, Minister, how do you intend to improve—? I keep calling you ‘Minister’. Cabinet Secretary, how do you intend to improve forecasting for future budgets? Indeed, you mentioned the draft budget that’s coming up later, in the near future—the main draft budget—so, how do you intend to improve the forecasting side of what the Assembly does with the new Welsh Treasury and indeed to develop the capacity of Government to gauge the economic impact of the decisions that we take here? That’s going to be increasingly important over the months and years to come.

Finally, on recommendation 3 of the supplementary budget report by the Finance Committee, we return to this issue in every Assembly and in nearly every finance debate—we need to better track the allocation from department to department over an Assembly term. We are, as has been pointed out now, at the start of the fifth Assembly—the sixth Assembly is still some way away, Adam Price, but you alluded to that in your comments. At the end of the fifth Assembly, I really hope that we can look back and say that the budget setting process and the scrutiny process that we undertook, as all of us here—new Members and old Members alike—were done better in the fifth Assembly term than in previous terms. I’m sure that we would all like to achieve that. So, Cabinet Secretary, how do you intend to set us along the right path in this regard and make all-important comparisons possible, not only in the draft budget that’s up and coming, but in future draft budgets and final budgets over the next five years?