Thank you, Chair, and I do move the motion in the name of Plaid Cymru, and remind ourselves that tomorrow we will be making a very significant decision—all of us—as to how we are going to negotiate a way to leave the European Union while protecting Wales’s interests. The focus of this afternoon’s debate is on how we do that, looking after agriculture and our rural economies in Wales. Because, of all of Wales’s industries, agriculture faces the most uncertainty following the decision to leave the European Union. Without the right trade agreement in place, the right regulatory framework and the right support, the consequences for all our agriculture industry and wider rural economy will be disastrous.

We are only using about 5 per cent of our red meat here in Wales. About 93 per cent of our meat is exported to the EU, that does include the rest of the UK, but it is important that any trade agreement negotiated by the UK Government will preserve and ensure the continuation of our grassland and upland sheep meat and beef rearing and dairy regimes. A trade agreement, for example, with New Zealand, could result in the transposing of the entirety of the current New Zealand lamb quota for imports to the UK after it has exited the EU. That could amount to a 0.25 million tonnes of lamb, currently dispersed across the whole of the EU, coming directly to the UK. According to Hybu Cig Cymru, a scenario where the UK trades with the EU under the WTO rules—the ‘no deal’ scenario—could mean tariffs of 84 per cent on cattle carcasses, 46 per cent on lamb carcasses, and 61 per cent on cuts of lamb. Therefore, no deal would be a bad deal for Welsh agriculture and Welsh rural communities.