Part of the debate – in the Senedd at 5:06 pm on 22 January 2019.
Can I thank the Member for his contribution and for his questions? I think he makes a number of important points. Perhaps if I can begin with the latter points and latter questions that he raised first, North Wales Police are part of the group that we've established in the north west of Wales to look at the future operations of the port, and, along with North Wales Police, there are other agencies that are involved in the work, including, for example, the NHS, to make sure that any impact on the port can be managed across the public sector.
I would urge all businesses, because the Member did raise a question about advice to firms concerning disruption at ports—. Well, advice on this matter and many other matters relating to Brexit is already captured in the EU Brexit portal that has been established on the Business Wales website, and I would urge all businesses to visit the site—17,000 have already done so—and to take advantage of the diagnostic tool that is available on that particular website to assess the possible impact on individual businesses of various scenarios that could come after 29 March.
Russell George is right to say that the challenge of Brexit has placed a significant additional burden on civil servants in the Welsh Government. As the First Minister has already said, officials are stretched—incredibly stretched—by the work that is required in order for us to minimise the impact, particularly to minimise the impact of a 'no deal' Brexit. I should say that we are united within the party on Brexit, and that explains why we have been able to put together such a comprehensive preparedness plan and why, even in spite of Brexit, we're able to carry on with the day job, and, in my department, that includes attracting major investments such as Monzo Bank Ltd, making sure that we're able to support the development of businesses that are small and micro-sized, and the Member will be aware of the employment statistics, which showed today employment at a record high in Wales, and that is because of the hard work of the Welsh Government, working in social partnership with businesses, trade unions, with education providers and the third sector, making sure that, in spite of Brexit, we drive economic growth the length and breadth of Wales. And it has to be said that our efforts and our success come in spite of the looming threat of a 'no deal' Brexit.
We know that uncertainty over Brexit is suppressing the economy by more than 1.5 per cent. So, it's quite clear that, if we were not to leave the EU or if we were to resolve the impasse with a deal that meets our criteria, then there would be something of a mini boom in the economy, and that is something that, I'm sure, all Members would welcome.
There are arrangements already in place through joint committees with UK Government concerning transport. I met with my counterparts in the UK Government just before Christmas to discuss a range of matters particularly relating to ports and the road haulage industry. If the Prime Minister fails to secure a deal, then the matter will be further examined by the EU exit group, which is a sub-group of the council for economic development. We've been meeting very regularly to assess, in partnership with Cardiff Business School, who've been carrying out comprehensive assessments, the impact of scenarios on the Welsh economy, but particularly with a focus on a 'no deal' Brexit.
With regard to the EU aviation area, Cardiff Airport is operating as an arm's-length body and is liaising very closely with aircraft carriers. In terms of the aerospace sector, I was with Airbus just last Thursday in north Wales, and again the message was relayed to me very loud and clear that a 'no deal' scenario would be a disaster for the aerospace sector. Clearly, movement of people is essential to Airbus. It's absolutely vital that, if a problem emerges in Tolouse, Broughton are able to deploy skilled professionals and experts in their given field at the drop of a hat. Any inhibition in the ability to be able to deploy professionals in that way will impact on just-in-time services, as well as the delivery of goods and a just-in-time ethos.
Now, numerous suggestions and numerous assessments of the impact of delays at ports have been made and have informed our preparedness plan. There is particular concern about perishable goods, for obvious reasons. Discussions have taken place with counterparts. I've had a discussion with the Irish Government Minister, and what's essential is that, moving forward, we find every way possible to avoid stacking of HGVs for a considerable length of time at Holyhead port, and that we're also able to avoid any stacking of HGVs at Dover as well. It's absolutely vital for the provision of food to our country and the businesses that operate in the food and drink sector that they are also able to export with as frictionless rules as possible.